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Geopolitical Trends from The European Geopolitical Forum

The European Geopolitical Forum's Geopolitical Trends (Issues 30 & 31, Winter & Spring 2026) analyzes three defining shifts reshaping the international order: the regional fallout from the U.S.-Israel war with Iran, Europe's search for a viable endgame in Ukraine, and the evolving strategic competition between the United States and China. Authored by Dr. George Vlad Niculescu, Head of Research at the European Geopolitical Forum, the report traces how the Iran conflict has eroded confidence in U.S.-led security guarantees, accelerated defense diversification among Gulf states, and produced fluid new alignments across the Middle East. In Europe, battlefield attrition and stalled diplomacy are pressing the need for a coherent continental security strategy. At the global level, the report finds that U.S.-China relations are trending toward guarded coexistence rather than a stable partnership, shaped by selective economic interdependence, reciprocal deterrence, and competing approaches to Russia. Across all three theaters, a common thread emerges, namely the erosion of established security architectures and the growing reliance on flexible coalitions in an increasingly multipolar world.

Read more from EGF at their website here.



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